Deontay Wilder v Tyson Fury WBC WORLD HEAVYWEIGHT TITLE, BT Sport Box Office (£24.95) – Here we go again. This is crept up fast since the announcement of the rematch. There hasn’t been really much build up until the last week or so when the fight has come alive, maybe that’s the downside to this being on BT? Or a fight this big doesn’t need excessive build up? Sky get a fair bit stick for building up little things to make them out to be bigger than they are, but I feel they would of promoted this as the biggest fight in their boxing history. Wilder (42-0-1) defends his title for the second time against Fury (29-0-1) in Las Vegas. This is the closest fight ive seen at the bookies for a long time. Odds have changed almost daily. Both men started the week 10/11 (still are on Bet365 and now SkyBet), with SkyBet initially having Fury as a 4/5 favourite. Now it seems Wilder will start favourite at a few places. Paddy Power are offering 4/5 on Wilder. The best odds out there are Wilder @ evens with Paddy, and Fury 21/20 with 888 Sport. Ive read a lot of people saying the money seems to be going on Wilder in the lead up so more than likely the odds will keep changing till the fight starts. I said the same thing before their first fight, if Fury hears the final bell, he will win. I thought he won the first fight, and Wilder stole a draw. But I also think that 12th round knockdown could have easily saw the ref wave the fight off. Fury was a lucky boy the ref was the excellent Jack Reiss, who counted to 10 rather than immediately wave the fight off, a lot of referees would of ended the fight there. The way Fury rose from the dead will live on forever in GIF’s around the world. Fury has had a strange build up. He decided to part with trainer Ben Davison, who must take serious credit for getting him back in the ring, claiming training had become stale, and decided to go back to the Kronk gym and hire Javon ‘Sugar’ Hill – the nephew of legendary trainer Emanuel Steward. He said he wanted to build up power to knock out Wilder early, and Hill was the man to do it. Wilder has gone about business quietly and confidently. Wilder knows what he is. We know what he is. Im sick of hearing, reading and writing how about “technically bad” he is. It’s irrelevant. What he is the one of the hardest hitting men that’s ever walked the planet. He needs one shot. He looked very patient last time out against Luis Ortiz. Losing every second of the fight for 7 rounds, you just knew it was coming sooner or later. When the opening came, the right hand was launched and it was good night Luis Ortiz. Fury comes in on the back of beating Otto Wallin over 12 rounds, where he suffered an absolutely horrendous cut. Hopefully that has healed fully or it won’t take long for that to open up again. Depending on who your fancying here, Wilder by KO @ 5/4 is incredible, as is Fury on points @ 13/8 (Skybet has it slightly less at 11/8). I think we can rule out Fury’s claim he’s going to stand there, trade and knock Wilder out, which is 5/1. We can also rule out Wilder on points @ 15/2 on Bet365 and 10/1 Skybet. Those two outcomes are very unlikely. What we shouldn’t completely rule out, is another draw, which is 22/1. Judging at the moment is terrible so what everyone else sees doesn’t mean the 3 people sitting ringside see the same thing. Wilder to score a knockdown is also an incredible 5/6. I can’t see how he doesn’t at knock Fury down at least once over 12 rounds, one of his punches has to land at some point, especially if (when) he falls into a big hole on the cards. SkyBet have a RequestABet for Fury to go down at least twice @ 15/8 which is again very tasty. Another good bet that caught my eye was Fury to knocked down and win, which is a very good 5/1 on Bet365. 12 rounds is 11/10, with the fight to end inside the distance at 4/6. The bookies really have no idea what to offer here. Wilder needs to be perfect for 2 or 3 seconds over 36 minutes, while Fury needs to be perfect for the majority of those 36 minutes. Fury can box circles around Wilder every day of the week, and if he stays away from that right hand he will easily win. But im going to stick to my gut feeling and pick Wilder to score a late and desperate KO. Wilder by KO @ 5/4
The Golden Contract Semi Finals, Friday, Sky Sports
Ohara Davis got the “Golden Ball” in Tuesdays draw, and to surprise of some (not me), chose Jeff Ofori. He had been involved in a bit of pre-fight arguing with Tyrone McKenna, so it seemed reasonable to assume they might choose each other if given the chance. Davis said he hoped to fight McKenna in the final, hence (correctly) picking the easiest fight he could in Ofori. That left McKenna to take on Mohamed Mimoune in the other semifinal, and im not sure Davis will get his wish, altho he will almost certainly contest the final himself.
Current Best Outright Odds to win the Golden Contract before Fridays fights –
Mimoune 8/5 (Betway), Ohara Davis 9/5 (UniBet), Tyrone McKenna 6/1 (Bet365), Jeff Ofori 16/1 (Bet365)
Ohara Davis (20-2) v Jeff Ofori (10-1-1) – Davis, if fully focused mentally, should wipe the floor with Ofori and move into the final. Ofori scrapped into the Semi with a draw against Keiran Gething, before being awarded the win on referee Keiran McCann’s deciding card. Davis easily beat Logan Yoon around for 6 rounds, before the corner pulled him out having seen enough. Davis starts here a massive 1/8, with Ofori 9/2. Davis should be far too good here and eventually stop him, ala Yoon, when the referee or the corner has seen enough. A Davis KO win is 2/5, with a points win 10/3. Ofori is 8/1 to win on the cards and 12/1 by KO. Davis to win by KO @ 2/5
Tyrone McKenna (20-1-1) v Mohamed Mimoune (22-2) – Definitely the closest and most competitive fight on Friday. McKenna won his quarter final easily against Mikel Sakyi, winning just about every minute on his way to the decision win. Mimoune had a tougher than expected time with Darren Surtees and was put down in the second round, before he showed his class and stopped Surtees in the 5th. The Frenchman starts 4/11, with McKenna 2/1. This should go 10 rounds. There’s only 9 KO’s in 42 fights between them, so the KO odds of 9/2 for Mimoune and 10/1 McKenna should probably be ignored. Mimoune is better than McKenna, and should win on the cards. Points wins are Mimoune 8/11 and 3/1 for McKenna. I think this will be competitive for 5 rounds before Mimounes class shines through and he goes into the final with a points win. Mimoune to win on points @ 8/11
Ryan Walsh picked the “Golden Ball” for the featherweights, and chose Tyrone McCullagh. He said they’ve worked on his type of style in the gym in the buildup, so chose what he thought best. The left tournament outsider Jazza Dickens with the unfortunate task of being paired with Leigh Wood. As long as Wood and Walsh avoided each other in the semifinal, they were almost certain to fight in the final, which should be a great fight if both progress as expected here.
Current Best Outright Odds to win the Golden Contract before Fridays fights –
Leigh Wood 6/4 (Paddy Power), Ryan Walsh 13/8 (BetFred), Tyrone McCullagh 5/1 (Betway), Jazza Dickens 9/1 (Betway)
Ryan Walsh (25-2-2) v Tyrone McCullagh (14-0) – Should be a decent and competitive fight this. Walsh starts a deserved 2/7 coming in after stopping Hairon Socarras in his semifinal. Hes only lost to two very good fighters, Selby and Ceylan, and I can’t see McCullagh being added to that list. McCullagh overcame Razaq Najib to progress, and it’s safe to say hes never faced anyone on the level of Walsh. That’s why the bookies have him 5/2 to win. Walsh on points @ 8/11 seems the sensible bet, but the KO @ 3/1 could be worth a cheeky fiver. McCullagh KO is 12/1 with a points win 15/4. Im going for Walsh to dominate the middle and late rounds and run away with a comfortable points win @ 8/11.
Leigh Wood (23-1) v Jazza Dickens (28-3) – I can’t see any possible way Dickens is competitive against Wood. Wood has looked excellent his last two fights, scoring knockouts over Ryan Doyle, and in his quarter final with David Oliver Joyce. He starts here 1/6, and it’s just a matter of how you think he’s going to win. Hess 2/1 for a points win and 8/11 for a knockout, which are great odds. Dickens, still only 28 years old, beat Carlos Ramos back on October to get there, and starts 7/2. He’s tough and won’t go easy, but he’s nowhere near as good as Wood, who should dominate and force a mid to late round stoppage. Wood by KO @ 8/11