Main Fight

Gennady Golovkin v Sergiy Derevyanchenko, VACANT IBF / VACANT IBO WORLD MIDDLEWEIGHT TITLES, Sky Sports (Saturday/Sunday)– A couple of vacant world titles on the line in New York this weekend, as Gennady Golovkin (39-1-1) fights Sergiy Derevyanchenko (13-1). A third Canelo fight seems a long way away, maybe dead, at this current time for Triple G. Canelo seems like he’s finished with Golovkin, and after his fight Kovalev, might not fight at middle or super middleweight again. So Golovkin is left challenging Dervevyanchenko for vacant world titles in the meantime. This is not a bad fight at all, a million miles better than Steve Rolls, and a good test for Triple G. The Ukrainian has one loss on his record, a super close SD loss to Daniel Jacobs in 2018 which shows he can at least perform at world level. Jacobs gave Triple G all he could handle when they met, so Derevyanchenko should give Golovkin a tough fight if he can match that Jacobs performance. He’s fought once since, a UD win over Jack Culcay back in April. But Golovkin should be aiming higher here. He’s 37 and hasn’t looked as invincible as he once did, so time is not on his side. Steve Rolls and Derevyanchenko are not going to set the boxing world on fire as opponents. Hopefully he’s using this fight to get himself a couple of world titles and then look to unify, or defend them in bigger and better fights. Hes too good to be wasting the end of his career on middle of the road challengers to rack up wins and titles for the sake of it. As expected, he starts a big (not massive) favourite at 1/5, with Derevyanchenko 10/3. A few boxing experts out there are not writing off Devevyanchenko here. I don’t think Derevyanchenko will win, but he will almost certainly make Triple G work hard for his 40th win. Golovkin has stopped everyone except Canelo and Jacobs (and also Mehdi Bouadla in 2007) since he came on the scene, so will certainly be aiming for KO number 36 when they get in the ring. Triple G by KO is EVENS, with 8/1 for Derevyanchenko, which is never going to happen. We’re looking at 11/8 for Golovkin on points, and 6/1 for the challenger, a more realistic option if you’re going for the big upset. Derevyanchenko is definitely capable of lasting the full 12 rounds, which makes that 11/8 look very enticing. For the fight to go 12, bookies are offering around 10/11, with inside 12 4/5, so no one is confident what happens here. If you can’t decide, ive found a nice Double Chance – Golovkin in rounds 7-12 or Points being offered at 1/2 on SkyBet. Im fairly certain he can last past 6 rounds for that bet to come in if you’re looking for a safe bet, and im more than confident he can see out the 12.

BNC Tip – Golovkin to win on points @ 11/8

Other Notable Event

The Golden Contract (Featherweights) – Sky Sports (Friday) – The first MTK Global “Golden Contract” tournament starts with the featherweights on Friday. The winner earns a “two year, 5 fight deal with six figure purses for each fight guaranteed”, so this is very big tournament to win for the entrants. They have potential to be a fun and exciting tournament these, MTK have kept them all in house (so no promotional problems) and have the big Sky deal to show the 3 tournaments, so barring injury these should be trouble free and easy tournaments to start and finish. Knockout bonuses are also on offer to give more incentive for the fighters to look to end fights in exciting fashion. The featherweights competing on Friday, with the best odds you can get to win it outright are –

Ryan Walsh @ 7/2

Davey Joyce @ 4/1

Leigh Wood @ 4/1

James Dickens @ 4/1

Tyrone McCullagh @ 9/2

Hairon Socarras @ 8/1

Carlos Ramos @ 100/1

Razaq Najib @ 40/1

There was no seeding for Tuesdays draw, just a chance to pick your opponent if you picked a blue ball instead of a red one, which gave us this quarter final line-up –

Leigh Wood v David Oliver Joyce

James Dickens v Carlos Ramos

Hairon Socarras v Ryan Walsh

Tyrone McCullagh v Razar Najib (originally Carlos Araujo)

Quick Hitters on the 4 Fights

Leigh Wood (22-1) v David Oliver Joyce (11-0) – A fight maybe worthy of the final. This should be a tremendous scrap. Wood starts 4/6 favourite with Joyce 6/5, so not much between them here. Wood no doubt has the better names on his record, and the fact he chose Joyce ahead of everyone else shows he’s confident, and not here to pick and choose an easy route to the semi-final. Joyce will more than fancy his chances here, which makes this a great fight on paper, and could be fight of the night. Im slightly going with Wood to win on points, in a super close and terrific fight. Wood on points @ 21/20

James Dickens (27-3) v Carlos Ramos (11-1) – Can’t blame Dickens for picking the least fancied of the 8 men here in Ramos. He starts 1/25 to get the semi-final, with Ramos 10/1. To win this you need to win 3 times, so Dickens going for the easy enough quarter final is a smart move assuming he wins as expected. Dickens to win on points @ 4/11

Hairon Socarras (22-0-3) v Ryan Walsh (24-2-2) – A man not after an easy route to the semi-final is Cuban Socarras, who surprised everyone by jumping straight in and picking tournament favourite Walsh to face instead of Araujo. The bookies have this close enough, Walsh the fav at 4/7 with Soccarras at 11/8. This should also be a terrific fight. I massively favour Walsh here, that 4/7 outright is a steal unless Socarras is better than im giving him credit for. But Walsh is the tournament favourite for a reason, and he will win here to move into the semi-final. Walsh on points @ EVENS

Tyrone McCullagh (13-0) v Razaq Najib (15-1) – McCullagh was left with Carlos Araujo at the end of the draw, which he wont of be bothered about at all, but he pulled out and Razaq Najib stepped in. Hes talked up his chances of winning the whole thing, and he will almost certainly be in the final 4 if he performs as he should. He starts 1/33 here, with Najib 14/1. Araujo was a better fight, as he had some power to maybe trouble McCullagh, but McCullagh should definitely look for the stoppage and the knockout bonus on his way to an easy semi-final place, which is 21/10. Im not so sure he get it tho, and im going for McCullagh on points @ 2/5

BNC’s Betting Corner – 4.10.19