Vasiliy Lomachenko (12-1) v Anthony Crolla (34-6-3)
There is no logical reason as to why Lomachenko has to fight Crolla, apart from the absurd boxing regulations of mandatory fights etc. Lomachenko should be fighting much bigger names than little local Manchester favourite Crolla. However, that means there is money is to be made. Let’s get this out of the way first, there is absolutely no way Crolla can win here, none at all, even if Lomachenko goes blind after 2 rounds he’ll still win! I’ll be surprised if Crolla wins a single second, never mind a round. It’s the biggest mismatch in recent years. If you want to lose your money, bet on Crolla, but you’re better off feeding it to your dog (or whatever pet you have, if you have a pet, if not flush it down the toilet).
You’re going to have to be brave to win anything worthwhile here. 1/500 are very very generous odds for Loma. He should be 1/50000. I like the 1/8 for a stoppage, and you could do a lot worse than betting £800 on this to win a potential easy £100. Crolla won’t quit, hes too proud for that, which means the ref will stop it or Gallagher will pull him out after too much punishment. He can’t survive 12 rounds against Lomachenko on heart alone, he needs to throw back, which leaves him open for devastating counter shots. Lomachenko seems about as happy with this fight as I am when my 5am alarm goes off for work, so don’t expect him to hang around when the bell rings.
BNC Tips – Lomachenko rounds 4-6 (2/1 with SkyBet), Lomachenko to win by KO (1/8 with SkyBet if you like a big stake).
Arnold Barboza (1/7) v Mike Alvarado (25/1) – Should be a points win for Barboza, 4/6 for that. 2/1 for the braver soul who fancies a Barboza KO win.
Gilberto Ramirez (1/33) v Tommy Karpency (20/1) – Ramirez KO 2/5 worth a shot, although the 15/8 for the points win could be good value…
Other notable fights:
Claressa Shields (8-0) v Christina Hammer (24-0)
The supposed biggest fight in women’s boxing history. I’m not a fan of women’s boxing and struggle to watch it (not because of quality), but keep in touch with what’s going on. Shields is, correctly, the favourite at 1/3. With 32 fights between them and just 13 knockouts, this is almost certain going to the scorecards after 10 rounds where Shields should win.
BNC Tip – Shields to win on points (1/2 with SkyBet), Fight to go all 10 rounds (1/5 for the big stakers).
Peter Quillin v Caleb Traux – Quillin to win 4/11, most likely a points win which is 13/8.
Jaime Munguia v Dennis Hogan – Munguia KO 1/4, can’t see anything else.
Sergey Derevyanchenko v Jack Culcay – Derevyanchenko points 8/11, Culcay is a tough man, so can’t see him being stopped.
Written for BBB by Scot Norman. You can follow Scot on Twitter @ScotBNC